Dave Does. Nige Fudges .
You heard it here first. We are staying In.
Since the end of last week the stock market has been on the rise-Lloyds for instance after crashing on Brexit fears is up more than 10per cent in two days. Elsewhere the betting markets having gone from 1/6 for Staying to 8/13 are now back to 1/4. Leave having gone from 4/1 to 13/8 is now 3/1.
Ashcrofts’s focus groups all say that if they woke up on Friday having left they would feel “worried and apprehensive.” The moderate, decent British electorate having flirted with romantic extremists is back to where it feels most comfortable. The Cox murder has encouraged this trend. As calmer heads in the Cameron bunker have always argued, turkeys do not vote for Xmas.
My postman hoped it would be Stay with a big message to the EU that people are unhappy and need change. Thats the result we are going to get. My prediction- 54% Stay,46% Leave.
My own vote will go pretty much with the flow. The EU is undemocratic, unreformable and probably corrupt. Like all institutions it wastes money. It also believes that like a shark it must keep moving to stay alive. The Eastern bloc countries,the euro, the tsunami of red tape and most of all the failing economy , all show Europe isn’t working and should be ditched. And the refugees….
However ditching the EU would lead to market and political turmoil. Cameron would be finished and the centre discredited. With UKIP and Corbyn’s Labour well poised the country could lurch either primitive Right or atavistic Left. Our economy outside of the City has shown itself largely incapable of responding to world demand. Many of our key industries are foreign owned for a reason. Outside of the EU the City which drives a large part of the wealth of the South East could well flounder and or decline. In or out the refugees are going to keep coming.
And as for immigrants. Get real, if we trade with the EU the Polish plumbers and the Roumanian pickpockets get in before the curry chefs and the arranged spouses. If we leave the order just swaps around. There is a reason why many Asian politicians want us to Leave.
I am not an Asian politician, I don’t like uncertainty, I’m a patriot but I don’t believe the UK is a world beater, I am a conservative with a small cee. I’m In. Fuckit.